The forecast did not have this as the favorite's day. Norris took the win as only the 2nd favorite at 26%, despite the pre-race penalties reshuffling the grid for Antonelli and Hamilton. Piastri's afternoon unraveled instead — he retired after 55 of 70 laps, with the forecast having rated him 33% for the podium beforehand. Elsewhere the race told a quieter story: Antonelli outpaced Russell by 0.5s a lap, and Verstappen was 0.5s a lap quicker than Hadjar. Norris now adds to a thin record here, having won 1 of 7 races at this track. In the championship, Antonelli still leads Hamilton by 50 points.